Election Race Intensifies as 25 April Nears - The Reykjavik Grapevine

Election Race Intensifies as 25 April Nears

Published April 17, 2009

Support for the different political parties running for parliament is more dynamic than ever this year. According to the most recent Capacent poll, about 25% of those who voted for the Conservatives in 2007 intend to vote for either the Social Democrats or the Leftist-Greens.
Supporters of the Leftist-Green Party are the most loyal, with 82.1% who voted for the party in 2007 saying they will do so again next week – the largest defection of 2007 Leftist-Green voters stands at 8.8%, all of them saying they intend to vote for the Social Dems this time around. Contrarily, 19.8% of those who said they voted for the Social Dems in 2007 intend to vote for the Leftist-Greens this time around.
As mentioned before, about 25% of those who voted for the Conservatives in 2007 intend to vote for either the Social Democrats or the Leftist-Greens – 12.9% and 12% respectively. Of those who voted Progressive in 2007, 10.5% say they will vote for the Social Dems this time around, while 13.7% say they will vote Leftist-Green.
The trend underlines a remarkable change of attitudes among those who previously voted for right wing and center-right wing parties, and not just with regards to Conservatives voting Leftist-Green less than two years after the fact. In 2007, the Leftist-Greens and Progressives were bitter rivals – one Leftist-Green campaign slogan was “How about a government with zero Progressives?,” a parody of the then-popular ads for Coke Zero.
The latest polls show the Leftist-Green Party continuing to grow, standing now at 28.2% when it was at 26% just last week. Social Dems, despite a small dip in support since the end of March, continues to be the largest party in the country with 30.7%. Support for Conservatives, wounded by charges of corruption and incompetence, hangs now at 23.3% – the lowest it’s been in years. The Progessives stand now at 11.1%, and the Citizen’s Movement is now at 4.4% – more than twice as strong as the flailing Liberal Party, which is at 2%.

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