If current projections pan out, this summer in Iceland will be colder than average.
“The temperature of the sea is well below average, from far out from southwest Iceland,” Trausti told reporters. “If the wind blowing from that direction is the prevailing one, then it is likely that the temperature [this summer] will be below average.”
He added that wind is the deciding factor here – if winds are blowing from the west, then southwest Iceland is normally sunny and warm. However, southwesterly winds are usually dominant in the summertime, making the prediction of a colder summer all the more likely. It may, in fact, fall below the average for the past 15 years.
It should be had in mind, however, that it is still a long way to summer, and weather predictions this far ahead are difficult at best to make with any degree of accuracy above 50%.