Ólafur And Þóra Lead The Pack - The Reykjavik Grapevine

Ólafur And Þóra Lead The Pack

Published June 8, 2012

Incumbent Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson and challenger Þóra Arnórsdóttir remain far ahead of any other presidential candidate, but there are some distinct demographic differences in their support.
According to a new poll from Gallup – which was conducted during the first week of June, around the same time as the presidential debates – Ólafur is currently with the support of 45.8% of respondents, while Þóra has 39.3%. Far behind in third is Ari Trausti Guðmundsson, with 9.2%. Everyone else running ranked under 3%.
Support for the two front-runners appears sharply divided demographically. Ólafur has the most support from conservatives and Progressives, while Þóra has the most support from Social Democrats and Leftist-Greens. Support for Ólafur increases the older the voters get, while young people show greater support for Þóra. There are even geographic differences – people living in the countryside are more likely to support Ólafur, while capital-area residents show greater support for Þóra. She also has more support from those who have completed a university degree than Ólafur does.
The single-digit margin between the two already spells what could be a close race, but contributing to this is the fact that the respondent percentage was only 61% – 13% did not yet have an opinion on who they would vote for president, 4% said they would either submit a blank ballot or not vote at all, and 1% said they intended to vote for someone other than the available choices. Winning over the undecideds and disenchanted could mean the difference between victory or defeat for Ólafur and Þóra.

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