According to Statistics Iceland, the Icelandic population, which is currently around 318.000, is predicted to increase up to 437.000 by January 1st 2060. The statistics were released this morning, reports Vísir.is.
These results are based on three variations of statistics which consider possible changes in patterns of child birth rates and migration numbers. The number 437.000 corresponds to the continuation of average child birth and migration rates. Lower rates would put the populous at 386.500 by 2060, or 493.800 if there was a dramatic increase in any of the contributing factors.
Statistics Iceland expect gradual population growth throughout the current year, but believe that 2011 and 2012 will see a more dramatic increase in population despite a decrease in immigration.
The average and high predictions are based on current patterns of birth rates exceeding death rates. However, the low prediction is based on whether the number of deaths surpass the number births before the year 2052.
Life expectancy in Iceland is predicted to increase for both men and women. Men’s life expectancy is currently at 79.7 years which is expected to reach 85 years by the end of the predicted period. For women the current life expectancy is 83.3 years, and is predicted to reach 87.1 by 2060.