From Iceland — No New Parties Projected To Win Parliament Seats

No New Parties Projected To Win Parliament Seats

Published September 5, 2012

If current polling numbers are any indication, none of the crop of new political parties are expected to win a seat in parliament next spring.
According to the latest Gallup poll, the Independence Party continues to be the most widely supported party in country, with 36%, although this is a decline of one percent from last month. At the same time, both the Progressive and the Leftist-Greens have seen a modest bump in support, with 13.8% and 13.3%, respectively, reflecting a rise in support of about one percent each. The Social Democrats remain about where they were last month, at just under 21%.
Late 2011 to early 2012 saw numerous new political parties appear, with some of them even showing promise as contenders. That now appears to have been part of a passing fad.
Four new parties – Bright Future, Dawn, Rightist Greens and Solidarity – are hoping to win seats in parliament. To win a seat, a party needs at least 5% of the vote. However, the strongest showing of any of these four new parties comes from Bright Future, which is only polling at 4.5%. Dawn has just under 4%, and both the Rightist Greens and Solidarity are at 3%. As such, none of these parties will win a seat in parliament if their numbers continue at this level.
On a related note, support for the ruling coalition has been on the rise for the fourth month in a row, and now stands at 34%.

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