Support For Government Decreases From Last Month, Opposition Sees A Boost

A new poll from Gallup shows support for the ruling coalition decline from last month, while some opposition parties saw a modest rise in support.

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10,911 people were contacted for the poll, with 50.4% responding, from January 6th to January 31st. Respondents were asked what party they would vote for if elections were held today. Undecideds were then asked which party they were most likely to vote for, and those still undecided after that were asked if they would vote for the Independence Party or another party. All respondents were asked if they support the ruling coalition.

Amongst the respondents, 59% said they support the coalition, which is led by the Left-Greens and also comprised of the Independence Party and the Progressive Party. This is down from 62% in December 2021. The combined total support for the coalition parties also declined over this time period, from 52% to 50%.

Where individual parties are concerned, the Independence Party was once again on top, at 22.4%, down from 23.3% last month. Support for the Progressives declined marginally, from 17.7% to 17%. The Left-Greens actually ranked fourth after two other opposition parties–the Pirates and the Social Democrats–albeit with scarcely any movement in support, going from 10.6% to 10.7%.

The Pirate Party was the strongest polling of all the opposition parties, holding steady between last month and this month, at 12.5%. This was followed by the Social Democrats, who went from 10.5% to 10.8%. Amongst other opposition parties, the Reform Party went from 8.7% to 9.4%; the People’s Party from 8.6% to 8.8%; the Socialist Party from 4.5% to 4.3%; and the Centre Party went from 3.4% to 3.7%. These last two parties would likely not win a seat in Parliament if elections were held today.

Barring unforeseen circumstances, parliamentary general elections will be held again in 2025.